A broad area of low pressure is emerging over the southwestern Gulf
of Mexico and it continues to produce disorganized shower activity.
Environmental conditions appear favorable for slow development, and
a tropical depression could form while the system moves
northwestward across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico late today or
on Saturday. However, by Saturday night, the system is expected to
move inland over northeastern Mexico, which will end its chances of
development. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.