At 1100 AM, the center of Tropical Depression Twelve
was located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 34.4 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19
km/h). A turn to the west is expected to occur by tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow weakening is forecast, and the depression is expected to become
a remnant low within the next day.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

  1. Southeastern Caribbean Sea:
    A broad and elongated area of low pressure located over the far
    southeastern Caribbean Sea just off the coast of Venezuela
    continues to produce an expansive area of showers and thunderstorms
    over the southern Windward Islands, northern South America, and
    adjacent waters. While land interaction with the northern coast of
    South America may hinder significant development during the next
    day or so, environmental conditions are expected to be mostly
    conducive for development while the system moves westward at about
    15 mph, and a tropical depression is likely to form in the next day
    or two by the time it enters the south-central Caribbean Sea.
    Additional strengthening is anticipated while the system moves
    westward over the southwestern Caribbean Sea toward Central America
    late Friday through Sunday.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall with localized flooding,
as well as gusty winds to gale force, are expected over portions of
the Windward Islands, northern portions of Venezuela including
Isla Margarita, the ABC Islands, and the Guajira Peninsula of
Colombia during the next day or two. Interests in those locations,
in addition to those in Central America, should continue to monitor
the progress of this system.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent.