At 7am Friday: The disturbance is centered near latitude
16.8 North, longitude 79.6 West. The system is moving toward the
northeast near 10 mph, and this motion is expected to
continue with increasing forward speed through the weekend. On the
forecast track, the center of the system is expected to move across
Jamaica later today, southeastern Cuba by early Saturday, and the
southeastern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is possible during the next couple of
days, and the disturbance could become a tropical storm later today
or tonight.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent.
  • Formation chance through 7 days…medium…50 percent.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb.